IHS Global Scenarios Advisory Service

The IHS Global Scenarios Advisory Service helps organizations prepare for the future by examining the key forces that will shape our world in the years ahead. At the heart of the service is a set of three distinct scenarios, called the Global Scenarios Framework.

Each scenario provides a qualitative narrative—or storyline—and quantitative analyses addressing possible futures for economic growth and policy, politics, trade, security, technology, the environment, and energy resources on the world stage to 2030.

Through ongoing quarterly updates, this advisory service helps you:

  • Develop strategies
  • Test specific decisions against alternative futures
  • Monitor signposts
  • Identify opportunities for strategic advantage

Drawing on the unrivaled regional and industry expertise and proprietary data of IHS, we offer an unprecedented outlook on how the global business environment could develop over time.
The Global Framework provides the context for the development of the three industry-specific scenarios covering energy, automotive, and aerospace and defense, ensuring consistent and integrated analysis between them.

The scenario storylines will be enhanced by comprehensive databases, including key variables used in the analysis and IHS historical data points and annual outlooks to 2030.

These scenarios will be revised on a quarterly basis with qualitative and quantitative updates. The offering is particularly relevant to commercial and national organizations considering their risk exposure to shifts in these areas.

The Global Framework will include the following:

  • International relations (trade, security, greenhouse gas policy)
    • Relations among major countries
    • Global and regional security institutions
    • Trends in military spending
    • Nuclear proliferation
    • Impact of non-state actors
    • Impact of terrorism
    • Greenhouse gas emissions policy
    • Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions trends and policy by region
    • Trade policy
    • Trade balances
  • Macroeconomics
    • Role of the state
    • Role of multilateral institutions
    • Future of the US dollar
    • Role of central banks
    • Economic growth
    • Productivity growth
    • Foreign exchange rates
    • Interest rates (dollar, euro, yen, renminbi, rupee)
    • Inflation
    • Wage index
    • Key commodity prices (metals, oil, other materials)
    • Savings patterns
    • Per-capita income
  • Technology
    • Innovation trends
    • Social trends
  • Energy
    • Crude oil prices
    • Energy investment policy trends
    • Trends in global energy demand and supply
  • Demographics
  • Population by country
  • Working age population by country
  • Migration patterns
  • Life expectancy
  • Global health trends

Key Deliverables and participation options

Option1: Multiclient Study Only

  • Quantitative
    • Detailed data sets of historical and projected data points by scenario, downloadable in Excel format
  • Qualitative
    • Complete final scenario narratives of Global Scenarios Framework storylines delivered via written report
  • Online access to research deliverables

Option 2: Multiclient Study and Ongoing Advisory Service*

  • Annual membership includes all components of the Multiclient study
    • Detailed final report with complete Global Scenarios Framework storylines
  • Invitations for two participants to attend annual workshops
  • Quantitative: semiannual updates to all data elements
    • Detailed sets of historical and projected data points by scenario
    • Updates issued every first and third quarter of the calendar year
    • Downloadable in Excel format
  • Qualitative: semiannual updates and monitoring of signposts
    • Issued every second and fourth quarter of the calendar year
    • Semiannual updates to scenario storylines
    • Delivered via web conference and PowerPoint
  • Online access to research deliverables

Option 3: Multiclient Study and Premium Ongoing Advisory Service*

All deliverables from Option 2, plus an annual on-site workshop to help integrate the scenarios into your planning process.

*The launch of the advisory service is contingent on us reaching a minimum number of client subscriptions. Your account manager can provide further details.